PMP培训学习笔记|项目进度管理赶工快速跟进

假设情景分析，根据假设情景分析的结果，评估项目进度计划在不利条件下的可行性，以及为应对意外情况的影响而准备进度基准和应对计划。

模拟最常见的模拟技术是蒙特卡罗分析，通过计算单个活动的可能工期概率分布，进而计算出整个项目的工期概率分布，是一种多点估算，反复模拟，敏捷发布规划。

有两种方法，赶工快速跟进，赶工通过增加资源，以最小的成本增加来压缩进度工期，拿资源换时间，直接导致成本增加，快速跟进，将顺序进行的活动改为并行开展，拿风险换时间，直接导致风险增加，得到七个输出进度基准，项目进度计划，进度数据，项目日历变更请求，项目管理计划更新，项目文件更新。

There are two ways to quickly follow up the work, and by rushing to increase the resources, the progress period is reduced with the least cost increase, and the resources are exchanged for the time, which directly leads to the increase of the cost, and the follow-up activities are carried out in parallel. Taking risk for time directly leads to increased risk, resulting in seven output schedules, project schedules, schedule data, project calendar change requests, project management plan updates, and project file updates.

进度基准，包括了基准开始期和基准结束日期，只有通过正式的变更控制程序才能够进行变更，用作与实际结果进行比较的依据，以确定是否存在偏差。 

pmp培训 The progress baseline, including the baseline start date and the baseline end date, can only be changed through a formal change control program and used as a basis for comparison with actual results to determine if there is a bias.

首先确定各个产品发布的时间，提供高度概括的里程碑进度计划，再确定每次发布的迭代次数和迭代时间，最后确定每个迭代期能够交付哪些功能特性，进度压缩，在不缩减范围的前提下，缩短工期，满足进度要求。