PMPACPstudy

帮助您顺利通过PMP ACP考试认证,欢迎您的加入!

pmp培训学习笔记|敏感性分析

pmp培训学习笔记|敏感性分析


EMV是建立在风险中立的假设之上的,既不避险也不冒险,经常在决策树分析中使用。决策树是PMP考试的必考题,如何理解和掌握好决策树,一个输出项目文件更新,风险报告更新,对整体项目风险敞口的评估结果,单个项目风险优先级清单,对项目关键路径有最大影响的单个项目风险清单等。


敏感性分析的典型表现形式是龙卷风图,预期货币价值分析。机会的EMV通常表示为正直而威胁的EMV则表示为负值,把每个可能结果的数值与其发生的概率相乘,再把所有乘积相加,就可以计算出项目的EMV。


比如延长进度计划,改变项目策略,缩小范围等转移,将应对策略的责任转移给第三方,让第三方管理风险,并承担威胁发生的影响。外包是一种典型的风险转移策略,减轻采取措施降低威胁发生概率或影响。


上报如果项目团队或项目发起人认为某威胁不在范围内,或提议的应对措施超出了项目经理的权限,就应该采用上报策略,威胁,一旦上报就不再由项目团队做进一步监督,被上报的风险将在向级更高的层面加以管理次,规避采取行动来完全消除威胁,把概率降低为零,让他一定不发生。


pmp培训学习英文笔记


  • For example, extending the schedule, changing the project strategy, narrowing the scope, etc., transfer the responsibility for the response strategy to a third party, let the third party manage the risk, and bear the impact of the threat. 

  • Outsourcing is a typical risk transfer strategy that mitigates measures to reduce the probability or impact of a threat.

  • If the project team or project sponsor believes that a threat is not in scope, or if the proposed response exceeds the authority of the project manager, the escalation strategy should be adopted. 

  • The threat should not be further supervised by the project team once reported, and reported. The risk will be managed at a higher level, evading action to completely eliminate the threat, reducing the probability to zero, so that he must not.



cache
Processed in 0.006871 Second.